Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 78%
Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 58 minuti fa
In ritardo3 mar 26, 20:40 UTC31 dic 26, 20:34 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will my friend get a partner at or before HMMT November 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill my friend M accept that he doesn´t annoy me?
Manifold MarketsWill my friend deid91 have success on Twitch by 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow many times will my friend and I die in Outward?
Manifold MarketsWill Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?
Manifold MarketsRegole
I am talking to my friend S about whether she should register on Manifold and create a market.
- This market will be resolved with YES if S has created and resolved a market by December 31, 2026 (N/A doesn't count).
- If she has created a market by December 31, 2026 that has not yet been resolved, then the deadline will be extended until resolution, provided the market is still active.
- Disclaimer: I will make an initial purchase of NO shares and will not trade further until the market is resolved.
- S may trade on this market.
