Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 52.8%
Previsori
324
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 minuti fa
21 apr 23, 20:36 UTC31 dic 30, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill 50%+ of new cars sold in USA be Electric Cars by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the global share of new cars sold that are electric by:
Manifold MarketsWill Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
KalshiUS national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
PolymarketRamp AI Index adoption rate in August
KalshiRegole
This question will resolve as YES if more than 50% of new cars sold worldwide in the year 2030 are electric.
- The source for determining the percentage of electric cars sold will be the International Energy Agency (IEA) annual report on electric vehicles.
- The report will be released in 2031 and will provide data on the percentage of electric cars sold in 2030.
- This question does not include hybrid cars, only fully electric cars.
- The question does not consider any potential changes in regulations or government policies that may affect the sales of electric cars.
- This question does not consider any potential changes in consumer behavior or technology development that may affect the sales of electric cars.
Mercati aperti
AdoptionKALSHIWill Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volume totale
- 159,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 130,1 €
POLYMARKETUS national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Volume totale
- 52,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 56,6 €
POLYMARKETOver 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Volume totale
- 18K €
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSLinux Desktop surpasses >10% marketshare before >10% of US population use VR daily.
- Yes57.9%
- No42.1%
- Volume totale
- 1,4K €
- Volume 24h
- —
KALSHIRamp AI Index adoption rate in August
- Above 59%65%
- Above 57%25.8%
- Above 58%9.3%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 21,3 €
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill 50% of US commuters travel via autonomous vehicles by 2030?
- No88.9%
- Yes11.1%
- Volume totale
- 645,1 €
- Volume 24h
- —
- Will cryptocurrency and web3 be mainstream by 2032?
- Polymarket exceeds $10B monthly trading volume in Dec 2027?
- Will Brazil adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?
- US solar capacity doubles over 2025-2030?
- Will Argentina adopt Bitcoin as an official currency before 2028
- What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2026?
- Will a major social media platform implement privacy-preserving proof of personhood by 2030?
- Will space tourism become mainstream by 2027?
- Will Germany have 15Mio electric vehicles by 2030?
- Will cryptocurrencies replace fiat money before 2040?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 53% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030??
- Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This question will resolve as YES if more than 50% of new cars sold worldwide in the year 2030 are electric.