Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
BitcoinOne-OffAdoptionUS PoliticsExchangeForeign Exchange3m
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 96%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
49,7K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
4.1% / 8.1%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
23 dic 25, 15:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If Donald Trump has issued an executive order or his Administration takes an executive action (including signing a bill into law) creating a “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve,” “National Bitcoin Reserve,” or any other formal government-held stockpile of Bitcoin after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For example, if the U.S. government established a program or body that is equivalent to the Strategic Petroleum Reserve for Bitcoin, or the United States Bullion Depository for Bitcoin, or if Bitcoin was held in the reserves of the U.S. Department of the Treasury like its foreign exchange and SDR holdings, then the Payout Criterion would be fulfilled.
- This would not include merely Bitcoin confiscated pursuant to criminal or civil enforcement proceedings.