Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the worldwide electric car adoption curve reach it's steepest point by 2030??

Manifold Markets quota Yes al 82% al 26 ottobre 2026.

Will the worldwide electric car adoption curve reach it's steepest point by 2030?

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

Sì 82%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 13 ore fa

Obsoleto

2 mar 24, 10:09 UTC1 gen 40, 22:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

The goal is to predict when the adoption S-curve of share of electric car sales will reach its steepest point.

This will be based on the data provided by OurWorldInData.
The current graph is shown below:
[image]The steepest point is currently 2020-2021 (9% - 4%) = 5%. 2021-2022 has achieved the same steepness.
The final change that will be included in the resolution is 2029-2030.
If this change or any of the previous changes is the largest over the entire curve the market will resolve YES.