Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato
Previsione della comunità attuale
No 90.1%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto
10 nov 23, 15:26 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Esito24hProbabilità
Regole
I am counting battery powered electric vehicles only, not plug in hybrids.
Resolves yes if sales of battery powered vehicles make up >50.0% of new vehicle registrations in Japan, Canada, Germany, Italy, USA, UK or France, in any calendar year (i.e 2023, 2024, 2025 or 2026).
Data sources vary by country, I will decide if a source is credible but open to argument.
Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a G7 country have greater than 50% of new car sales being battery powered electric vehicles by the end of 2026??
Manifold Markets quota No al 90.1% al 28 ottobre 2026.
Quando si risolve Will a G7 country have greater than 50% of new car sales being battery powered electric vehicles by the end of 2026??
Will a G7 country have greater than 50% of new car sales being battery powered electric vehicles by the end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
Come viene liquidato Will a G7 country have greater than 50% of new car sales being battery powered electric vehicles by the end of 2026??
Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: I am counting battery powered electric vehicles only, not plug in hybrids.
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