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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Middle East
  3. Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

0.2% (24h)One-OffMiddle East19j
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
June 30,
June 30, 10%+0.2%
En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche

100 / 100

Haute qualité
Volume 24h

12,1 k €

Liquidité

36,2 k €

Liquidité élevée
Achat / Vente

9.5% / 9.7%

Spread

2.1%

Spread serré
Variation 7j

+7.3%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 1 minute

30 juil. 25, 18:4230 juin 26, 20:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité
December 31
December 31
0%
November 30
November 30
0%
March 31,
March 31,
0%
February 28,
February 28,
0%

Résultat choisi

June 30,10%

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas officially announces it will disarm in the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Only credible announcements, for example by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas, will qualify.
  • For the purposes of this market, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquish or dismantle its military, whether partially or completely, in the Gaza Strip.
  • Announcements of partial disarmament (e.g., surrendering a class of weapons or agreeing to disarm in stages or a certain region) will qualify as long as it is part of an acknowledged disarmament process.
  • Only official announcements will qualify.

Marchés Associés

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

4,4 M €
December 31: 68%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

1,3 M €
July 31: 56%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

1,1 M €
Oui: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? [Polymarket]

18,4 k €
Oui: 5.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

US - Iran nuclear deal by end of June?

12,2 k €
Oui: 3%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Iran actually participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

11,8 k €
Oui: 97.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,710.12+2.15%EthereumETH$1,652.78+1.48%SolanaSOL$65.08+1.65%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+1.44%XRPXRP$1.11+0.28%BNBBNB$595.48+1.63%

Actualités Associées

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsBlackRock warns of energy shock as May CPI is set to show acceleration in inflationCoindeskThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsNo-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.NewsBitcoin pump to $63,700 triggers the most short liquidations since late AprilCoindeskMajor cryptocurrencies under pressure as oil jumps 3%Coindesk

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas officially announces it will disarm in the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Only credible announcements, for example by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas, will qualify.
  • For the purposes of this market, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquish or dismantle its military, whether partially or completely, in the Gaza Strip.
  • Announcements of partial disarmament (e.g., surrendering a class of weapons or agreeing to disarm in stages or a certain region) will qualify as long as it is part of an acknowledged disarmament process.
  • Only official announcements will qualify.