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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Fed
  3. Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

2.0% (24h)FedGéopolitiqueOne-OffCrime & Justice6mo
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Tim Walz
Tim Walz 28%-2.0%
En tête parmi 25 options
Qualite du marche

44 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

35,9 €

Liquidité

2,8 k €

Liquidité moyenne
Achat / Vente

24.0% / 28.0%

Spread

16.7%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 1 minute

2 déc. 25, 1:001 janv. 27, 4:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Tim Walz28%

Règles

If James Comey has been formally charged with a federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Charges filed in military courts are included.
  • The reinstatement of charges filed prior to Issuance does not count; only the filing of a new charging document after Issuance triggers the Payout Criterion.
  • Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court.
  • Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges.
  • Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count.

Marchés Associés

Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?

Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?

6,3 €
Oui: 12%KalshiKALSHI
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

5,2 €
Oui: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Nothing Ever Happens: June

Nothing Ever Happens: June

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Something: 11%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Nothing Ever Happens: June (Polymarket)

136,3 €
Nothing: 81%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Karmelo Anthony be convicted of first-degree murder for the killing of Austin Metcalf?

5,2 k €
Oui: 99%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

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Oui: 3%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,607.99+1.74%EthereumETH$1,652.11+1.38%SolanaSOL$65.11+0.90%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.14%BNBBNB$595.66+1.32%XRPXRP$1.12-0.23%

Actualités Associées

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsGannon Van Dyke faces landmark Polymarket insider trading trialCrypto NewsWashington man gets five years for laundering $97M in fraud proceeds Crypto NewsBitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsFormer Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto News

Règles

If James Comey has been formally charged with a federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Charges filed in military courts are included.
  • The reinstatement of charges filed prior to Issuance does not count; only the filing of a new charging document after Issuance triggers the Payout Criterion.
  • Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court.
  • Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges.
  • Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count.