PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleNo change 71%+3.0%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
100 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
15,3 k €
Liquidité
213,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
70.0% / 71.0%
Spread
1.4%
Spread serréVariation 7j
+6.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes
17 juin 26, 23:3428 oct. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
No change71%
Comparer les plateformes· No change
Trié par volume 24 h| Plateforme | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketCette pageLa plus active | 71% | — | 15,3 k € | 213,4 k € | il y a 18 minutes | |
 Kalshi | 66% | — | 2,2 € | 19,8 k € | il y a 12 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Fed decision in Oct 2026?
13.0%3mo
-13.0%66%
8%
18%
+2 résultats de plus
44 • Faible qualitéSpread largeLiquidité moyenneAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total29,7 k €
Volume 24h2,2 €
KALSHIRègles
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
- If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$17.5k2 juil.7j de données8 juil.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Fed Decision in July?
2 M €No change: 78%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
118 k €No change: 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
New business applications monthly record in 2026?
3,3 k €Oui: 65%KALSHI
KALSHI
Bank of Japan Decision in July?
2,5 k €No change: 98%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Banxico interest rate decision in August
450,7 €Maintain the same rate: 90%FUTUUR
FUTUUREuropean Central Bank interest rate decision in July
377,9 €Maintain the same rate: 97%FUTUUR
FUTUURActifs dans ces sujets
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Inflation warning revives hike talk as Polymarket keeps 2026 at 82% zero cutsBlockchain.NewsRègles
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
- If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.