PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
No change 69.2%En tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualite du marche
89 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
13,1 k €
Liquidité
1,3 M €
Liquidité élevéeSpread
0.1 pt
Spread serréComments
0
Variation 7j
-0.4 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
17 juin 26, 23:3428 oct. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
- If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Référence CoinRithm No change 72% · 2 plateformes · bande de 1 pt
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Fed Decision in October? · No change 70%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Fed decision in Oct 2026? · Fed maintains rate 71%
- Également disponible sur Robinhood (Rothera) — Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026) · H 0 64%
