Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNo change 69.5%+1.4ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+36.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
2 sept. 26, 15:16 UTC28 oct. 26, 18:00 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the October 2026 FOMC meeting.
- The outcome is determined by the net basis-point change announced in the official March FOMC statement.
- If the Fed changes the rate by an amount not matching a displayed option, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 bps for resolution (e.g., a 12.5 bps move is treated as 25 bps).
- Resolution Sources:
- The official FOMC statement for the September2026 meeting:
- https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Fed Decision in October? · No change 66%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Fed decision in Oct 2026? · Fed maintains rate 65%
- Également disponible sur Robinhood (Rothera) — Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026) · H 0 63%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Fed Decision in October? · No change 66%
Marchés ouverts
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 34,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Volume total
- 3,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 45,5 k €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 résultats de plus
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Volume total
- 997 k €
- Volume 24h
- 41,2 k €
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Fed decision in October? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No change à 70% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Fed decision in October? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Fed decision in October? doit être résolu le 28 octobre 2026.
- Comment Fed decision in October? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the October 2026 FOMC meeting.
- Où Fed decision in October? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Limitless, Kalshi, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket.