PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
4.70% 71%En tête parmi 9 options
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
5,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
3 sept. 26, 01:05 UTC31 déc. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026.
- If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Marchés ouverts
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt53%
- No change-4.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 89,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3 M €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt45%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 33,3 M €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt47.8%
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt46.8%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No86%
- Yes+3.8pt14%
- Volume total
- 995,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 39,4 k €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)-0.1pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)+0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.3pt2%
+10 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt30.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt2.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027? ?
- Polymarket cote 4.70% à 71% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026.