KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Fed maintains rate 70.9%En tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualite du marche
84 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
28 k €
Liquidité
193,2 k €
Liquidité élevéeSpread
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
29 sept. 25, 14:0028 oct. 26, 17:59
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Reserve
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "the named outcome" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Référence CoinRithm No change 72% · 2 plateformes · bande de 1 pt
Marchés ouverts
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change+1.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease+0.3pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 40,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1 M €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Fed maintains rate+2.0pt66.7%
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt30.4%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 10,6 M €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt65.6%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt28.3%
- Cut 25bps-1.0pt2.8%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+2.6pt88.1%
- Exactly 1 cut-0.6pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.3pt2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0+0.8pt86%
- 1 (2510%
- 2 (50+0.1pt3%
+10 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- No change60.6%
- 25 bps increase26.9%
- 25 bps decrease+1.4pt8.7%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Fed Decision in October?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 4.125% at the FOMC meeting ending September 16, 2026?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Fed decision in Oct 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote Fed maintains rate à 71% au 23 août 2026.
- Quand Fed decision in Oct 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026? doit être résolu le 28 octobre 2026.
- Comment Fed decision in Oct 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Fed decision in Oct 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Limitless, Polymarket, Robinhood (Rothera).