KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleFed maintains rate 66%-13.0%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
44 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
2,2 €
Liquidité
19,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
67.0% / 83.0%
Spread
23.9%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
29 sept. 25, 14:0028 oct. 26, 17:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Fed maintains rate66%
Comparer les plateformes· Fed maintains rate
Trié par volume 24 h| Plateforme | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketLa plus active | 71% | — | 15,7 k € | 219,2 k € | il y a 11 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| KalshiCette page | 66% | — | 2,2 € | 19,8 k € | il y a 5 minutes |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Fed Decision in October?
3.0%3mo
+3.0%71%
+1.5%14%
-2.0%13%
+2 résultats de plus
100 • Haute qualitéSpread serréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total167,3 k €
Volume 24h15,7 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
- Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$22 juil.7j de données8 juil.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
582,2 k €Fed maintains rate: 80%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
7,3 k €Fed maintains rate: 60%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Dec 2026?
233,2 €Hike 25bps: 25%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Dec 2027?
46,8 €Hike >25bps: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2027?
8,8 €Cut 25bps: 7%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Apr 2027?
0,9 €Hike 25bps: 8%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Bitcoin climbs toward $60,000 after Fed Chair Warsh said inflation risks has come downCoindesk
U.S. Supreme Court blocks Trump bid to remove Fed Governor Lisa CookCrypto News
BofA sees 75 bps Fed hikes as Polymarket keeps 2026 no-cuts at 77%Blockchain.News
Hot PCE inflation fuels rate-hike talk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 89.5%Blockchain.News
PCE inflation update keeps Fed path in focus as Polymarket pegs 0 cuts at 80%Blockchain.News
Inflation warning revives hike talk as Polymarket keeps 2026 at 82% zero cutsBlockchain.NewsRègles
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
- Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.