Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

6.3% (24h)FedOne-Off5mo

KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais

Probabilité implicite actuelle

Oui 6%-6.3%

Qualite du marche

89 / 100

Haute qualité

Volume 24h

10,6 k €

Liquidité

177 k €

Liquidité élevée

Achat / Vente

9.0% / 9.5%

Spread

5.6%

Spread modéré

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes

6 janv. 26, 15:001 janv. 27, 15:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier

Résultat choisi

Yes6%

Mise (USDT)

Règles

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included.
The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.

Tendance du volume

$12.1k

2 juil.7j de données8 juil.

Actifs Sensibles au Macro

BitcoinBTC$61,755.49-3.40%

EthereumETH$1,724.89-3.98%

SolanaSOL$76.85-6.27%

Marchés Associés

Fed decision in Jul 2026?

1,8 M €

Hike >25bps: 1%

KALSHI

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike by...?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

85,8 k €

0 (0: 77%

POLYMARKET

Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?

83,9 k €

Above 3.75%: 23%

KALSHI

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

18,3 k €

Exactly 0 cuts: 76%

KALSHI

Actifs dans ces sujets

DogecoinDOGE$0.072-4.27%

XRPXRP$1.07-4.84%

BNBBNB$562.63-3.77%

ZcashZEC$455.32-8.18%

CardanoADA$0.1658-6.41%

HyperliquidHYPE$67.08-6.68%

Actualités Associées

Bitcoin climbs toward $60,000 after Fed Chair Warsh said inflation risks has come downCoindesk

U.S. Supreme Court blocks Trump bid to remove Fed Governor Lisa CookCrypto News

BofA sees 75 bps Fed hikes as Polymarket keeps 2026 no-cuts at 77%Blockchain.News

Hot PCE inflation fuels rate-hike talk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 89.5%Blockchain.News

PCE inflation update keeps Fed path in focus as Polymarket pegs 0 cuts at 80%Blockchain.News

Inflation warning revives hike talk as Polymarket keeps 2026 at 82% zero cutsBlockchain.News

Règles

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included.
The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

6.3% (24h)FedOne-Off5mo

KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais

Probabilité implicite actuelle

Oui 6%-6.3%

Qualite du marche

89 / 100

Haute qualité

Volume 24h

10,6 k €

Liquidité

177 k €

Liquidité élevée

Achat / Vente

9.0% / 9.5%

Spread

5.6%

Spread modéré

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes

6 janv. 26, 15:001 janv. 27, 15:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier

Résultat choisi

Yes6%

Mise (USDT)

Règles

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included.
The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.

Tendance du volume

$12.1k

2 juil.7j de données8 juil.

Actifs Sensibles au Macro

BitcoinBTC$61,755.49-3.40%

EthereumETH$1,724.89-3.98%

SolanaSOL$76.85-6.27%

Marchés Associés

Fed decision in Jul 2026?

1,8 M €

Hike >25bps: 1%

KALSHI

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike by...?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

85,8 k €

0 (0: 77%

POLYMARKET

Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?

83,9 k €

Above 3.75%: 23%

KALSHI

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

18,3 k €

Exactly 0 cuts: 76%

KALSHI

Actifs dans ces sujets

DogecoinDOGE$0.072-4.27%

XRPXRP$1.07-4.84%

BNBBNB$562.63-3.77%

ZcashZEC$455.32-8.18%

CardanoADA$0.1658-6.41%

HyperliquidHYPE$67.08-6.68%

Actualités Associées

Bitcoin climbs toward $60,000 after Fed Chair Warsh said inflation risks has come downCoindesk

U.S. Supreme Court blocks Trump bid to remove Fed Governor Lisa CookCrypto News

BofA sees 75 bps Fed hikes as Polymarket keeps 2026 no-cuts at 77%Blockchain.News

Hot PCE inflation fuels rate-hike talk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 89.5%Blockchain.News

PCE inflation update keeps Fed path in focus as Polymarket pegs 0 cuts at 80%Blockchain.News

Inflation warning revives hike talk as Polymarket keeps 2026 at 82% zero cutsBlockchain.News

Règles

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included.
The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.