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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Fed
  3. ECB rate cut in 2026?
ECB rate cut in 2026?

ECB rate cut in 2026?

0.5% (24h)FedOne-OffEuropeCentral Banks6mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 14%+0.0%
Qualite du marche

24 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidité

1,5 k €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

13.0% / 15.0%

Spread

15.4%

Spread large
Variation 7j

+0.5%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes

23 déc. 25, 22:4631 déc. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes14%

Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
  • If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Actifs Sensibles au Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,978.79+2.53%EthereumETH$1,661.11+1.78%SolanaSOL$65.42+1.74%

Marchés Associés

Bank of England decision in June?

Bank of England decision in June?

2,8 k €
No change: 96%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Who will replace Christine Lagarde at the European Central Bank?

Who will replace Christine Lagarde at the European Central Bank?

0 €
Isabel Schnabel: 98%PredictItPREDICTIT
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

16 €
3.1%+: 59%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will the Federal Open Market Committee announce a decrease in the federal funds rate at the June 17, 2026, meeting?

99 €
Oui: 6.6%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Lisa Cook departure announced?

Lisa Cook departure announced?

0,1 €
Before Jan 2027: 15%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will the Bank of Japan have a negative interest rate again before the end of 2026?

0 €
Oui: 7.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.56%BNBBNB$597.15+1.83%XRPXRP$1.12+0.44%CardanoADA$0.1654+2.63%HyperliquidHYPE$56.06+0.99%LitecoinLTC$42.70+0.46%

Actualités Associées

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsCan the Bank of Japan’s 1% rate hike spark another crypto selloff?Crypto NewsU.S. inflation, European Central Bank rate decision: Crypto Week AheadCoindeskMay 2026 US Jobs Report: Upward Revisions Reshape Crypto Fed Rate Cut OutlookBlockchain ReporterBitcoin price falls below $60K as hot U.S. jobs report crushes rate cut hopesCrypto News

Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
  • If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.