KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 2027 9%-1.1pt
Qualité du marché
50 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
17,3 €
Liquidité
19,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
4.5% / 8.9%
Écart
4.4 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
8 déc. 25, 20:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Perdu
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Lisa Cook leave the office of Federal Reserve governor in 2026?
FutuurLisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by which date?
PolymarketLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by which date?
Manifold MarketsPROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]
Manifold MarketsTrump tries to fire Lisa Cook by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump try to fire Lisa Cook again?
KalshiRègles
If Lisa DeNell Cook leaves or announces that they will leave their position as Federal Reserve Governor the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- An announcement that they will leave office is sufficient to immediately resolve the market to Yes.
- However, the announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.
- Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do not count.
- Leaving office as a result of death will not count.
- Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) will count even without a prior announcement.
Marchés ouverts
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt52.9%
- No change-1.0pt45.1%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 969,4 k €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed maintains rate+2.0pt47.2%
- Hike 25bps45.8%
- Hike >25bps-1.0pt2.8%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 28,5 k €
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps-2.0pt50%
- Fed maintains rate47%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,9 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase68.7%
- No change-2.0pt28.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.5pt98%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt1%
+10 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes86.1%
- No13.9%
- Volume total
- 110,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 26,2 k €
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Bank of Mexico Decision in September?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Central Bank of Colombia decision in September
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Lisa Cook departure announced? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 2027 à 9% au 23 septembre 2026.
- Quand Lisa Cook departure announced? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Lisa Cook departure announced? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Lisa Cook departure announced? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Lisa DeNell Cook leaves or announces that they will leave their position as Federal Reserve Governor the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.