KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleBefore Jan 2027 9%
Qualite du marche
56 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
35,6 €
Liquidité
15,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
2.0% / 4.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 minutes
11 mai 26, 19:301 sept. 26, 3:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Before Sep 1, 20264%
Tendance du volume
$403 juil.23j de données28 juil.
Marchés Associés
Will rates hit zero in 2026?
82,6 €Oui: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)
43,9 €2023: 0.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Auto-loan delinquencies in Q2 2026
34,3 €Above 5.6%: 77%KALSHI
KALSHIWill Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?
0 €Oui: 23.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the federal funds rate fall below 2.5% by the end of July 2026?
0 €Oui: 1.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Who will be the next President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?
0 €Rebecca Patterson: 7%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
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Polymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimonyBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike fall to 52.5% as traders trim betsBlockchain.News
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Polymarket odds: Fed hold slips to 56.5% after softer CPI chatterBlockchain.NewsRègles
If Lisa DeNell Cook leaves or announces that they will leave their position as Federal Reserve Governor before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement that they will leave office is sufficient to immediately resolve the market to Yes.
- However, the announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.
- Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do not count.
- Leaving office as a result of death will not count.
- Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) will count even without a prior announcement.