KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Exactly 0 cuts 91.1%+1.3ptEn tête parmi 21 options
Qualité du marché
69 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
42,8 k €
Liquidité
4,9 M €
Liquidité élevéeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
29 sept. 25, 14:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?
KalshiNumber of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026?
KalshiNumber of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
KalshiNumber of FOMC meetings with FED interest rate cuts in the US in 2026
FutuurWill there be exactly 3 rate cuts in 2026?
ForecastExWill there be exactly 4 rate cuts in 2026?
ForecastExRègles
If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Federal Reserve
- To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
- If the Fed cuts 1 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 2 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 3 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 4 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 35 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIFed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Above 2.75%99%
- Above 3.00%99%
- Above 3.25%99%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 29,4 k €
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Number of rate cuts in 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote Exactly 0 cuts à 91% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Number of rate cuts in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Number of rate cuts in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Number of rate cuts in 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Manifold Markets, Polymarket.