KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleExactly 4 cuts 1%+0.1%En tête parmi 21 options
Qualite du marche
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
30,6 k €
Liquidité
3,8 M €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
0.7% / 0.9%
Spread
28.6%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
29 sept. 25, 14:001 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Exactly 4 cuts1%
Comparer les plateformes· Exactly 0 cuts
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global82% de correspondance · vérifié | Moyenne | 85% | — | 48 k € | 2,2 M € | il y a 14 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| KalshiCette page | Moyenne | 83% | — | 30,6 k € | 3,8 M € | il y a 14 minutes | |
 Manifold Markets80% de correspondance · vérifié | — | 53% | — | — | — | il y a 21 heures | Ouvrir → |
| Manifold Markets85% de correspondance · vérifié | — | 83% | — | — | — | avant-hier | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Manifold Markets
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
5mo
+1.4%82.8%
-0.9%8.1%
-0.2%2.8%
+6 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire16 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Polymarket
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
5mo
+0.4%85%
9%
+0.1%3%
+10 résultats de plus
73 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevée
Volume total39,4 M €
Volume 24h48 k €
POLYMARKETÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
How many net Fed rate cuts in 2026?
5mo
53.3%
34.4%
8.5%
+3 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire25 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRègles
If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
- If the Fed cuts 1 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 2 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 3 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 4 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Grosses transactions
$1.4k83.0%KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Yes-3 j
KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Yes-3 j$1.1k84.6%POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — YesOptimistic-Functionality-3 j
POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — YesOptimistic-Functionality-3 j$1.3k84.8%POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — YesOptimistic-Functionality-4 j
POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — YesOptimistic-Functionality-4 j$2.9k99.6%POLYMARKETWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — Nokristina38-4 j
POLYMARKETWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — Nokristina38-4 j$2.8k99.3%POLYMARKETWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — Noaaronhill-5 j
POLYMARKETWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — Noaaronhill-5 j$1.7k20.0%KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — No-6 j
KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — No-6 j$3.4k15.0%POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — NoyameteV9-7 j
POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — NoyameteV9-7 j$2.8k79.0%KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Yes-10 j
KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Yes-10 jTendance du volume
$34.8k2 juil.25j de données26 juil.
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If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
- If the Fed cuts 1 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 2 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 3 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 4 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.