Probabilité implicite actuelle
2 (50 33%-0.5%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
920,3 €
Liquidité
67,2 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
0.8% / 2.1%
Spread
162.5%
Spread largeVariation 7j
+1.2%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
23 juin 26, 19:4331 déc. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
2 (5033%
Tendance du volume
$1.0k2 juil.25j de données26 juil.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Fed rate hike by which date?
6,7 k €October Meeting: 69%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed rate hike by...? [Polymarket]
24,6 €July Meeting: 10.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2028?
21,1 €2.50% or less: 5.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Fed rate hike in 2026?
39,3 k €Oui: 71%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
75,1 €Above 6.9%: 55%
KALSHI
KALSHIHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
43,9 €0 (0 bps): 82.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
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This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting).
- Emergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026.
- This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.
- For example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each).
- This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible — i.e., if more hikes have already occurred than the strike in question.
- Note that hikes between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate hike.