KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleHike >25bps 62%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
6,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
2.0% / 3.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 minutes
6 oct. 25, 14:0028 avr. 27, 17:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Cut >25bps5%
Tendance du volume
$144 juil.14j de données23 juil.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Fed decision in July?
8,5 M €Hike 25bps: 24%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
61,6 k €Cut >25bps: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
922,8 €Hike >25bps: 2%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Dec 2026?
285,6 €Hike >25bps: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Jul 2027?
45,4 €Hike 25bps: 4%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Jan 2028?
0 €Cut >25bps: 2%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
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Polymarket odds: Fed July hold jumps to 95% after Bitcoin breaks $65KBlockchain.News
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Polymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimonyBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike fall to 52.5% as traders trim betsBlockchain.News
Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflationBlockchain.NewsRègles
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on April 28, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
- Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on April 28, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.