KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleCut >25bps 2%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
24 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
1,7 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
1.0% / 6.0%
Spread
500.0%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 minutes
6 oct. 25, 14:0026 janv. 28, 18:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Cut >25bps2%
Tendance du volume
$3212 juil.4j de données21 juil.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
371,6 k €Fed maintains rate: 80%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
1,5 k €Hike >25bps: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
6,4 €Fed maintains rate: 57%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Dec 2027?
0 €Cut >25bps: 11%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2027?
0 €Cut >25bps: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2027?
0 €Cut >25bps: 68%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Polymarket odds put July Fed no-change at 96% as $65M tradesBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Fed July hold jumps to 95% after Bitcoin breaks $65KBlockchain.News
Bitcoin climbs above $65K as weak PPI rattles Fed hawksCrypto NewsPolymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimonyBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike fall to 52.5% as traders trim betsBlockchain.News
Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflationBlockchain.NewsRègles
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on January 26, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
- Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on January 26, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.