KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleCut 25bps 7%-20.0%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
28 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
8,8 €
Liquidité
926,9 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
8.0% / 18.0%
Spread
125.0%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
6 oct. 25, 14:0027 oct. 27, 17:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Cut 25bps7%
Tendance du volume
$102 juil.6j de données8 juil.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
1,8 M €Hike >25bps: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
7,3 k €Fed maintains rate: 60%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Dec 2026?
233,2 €Hike 25bps: 25%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Dec 2027?
46,8 €Hike >25bps: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
22,8 €Hike 25bps: 17%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Apr 2027?
0,9 €Hike 25bps: 8%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
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U.S. Supreme Court blocks Trump bid to remove Fed Governor Lisa CookCrypto News
BofA sees 75 bps Fed hikes as Polymarket keeps 2026 no-cuts at 77%Blockchain.News
Hot PCE inflation fuels rate-hike talk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 89.5%Blockchain.News
PCE inflation update keeps Fed path in focus as Polymarket pegs 0 cuts at 80%Blockchain.News
Inflation warning revives hike talk as Polymarket keeps 2026 at 82% zero cutsBlockchain.NewsRègles
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on October 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
- Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on October 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.