KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Fed maintains rate 61%-2.0ptEn tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualite du marche
72 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
895,5 €
Liquidité
29 k €
Liquidité élevéeSpread
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
29 sept. 25, 14:0027 janv. 27, 18:59
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on January 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Reserve
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "the named outcome" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on January 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on January 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change67.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease+0.5pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 40,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 963,2 k €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Fed maintains rate66%
- Hike 25bps31.1%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 10,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 123 k €
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+2.0pt87.1%
- Exactly 1 cut-0.6pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts+0.5pt3%
+18 résultats de plus
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed maintains rate70.9%
- Hike 25bps22.3%
- Cut 25bps3.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 225 k €
- Volume 24h
- 28 k €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0+0.7pt86%
- 1 (2510%
- 2 (50+0.1pt3%
+10 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- No change60.6%
- 25 bps increase-0.5pt26.9%
- 25 bps decrease+1.5pt8.7%
+2 résultats de plus
- Fed Decision in October?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed Decision in January?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Bank of Israel decision in August?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Fed decision in Jan 2027? ?
- Kalshi cote Fed maintains rate à 61% au 23 août 2026.
- Quand Fed decision in Jan 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Fed decision in Jan 2027? doit être résolu le 27 janvier 2027.
- Comment Fed decision in Jan 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on January 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Fed decision in Jan 2027? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket.