PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
No change 77%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
70 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,3 k €
Liquidité
19,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneSpread
3.0 pt
Spread modéréComments
0
Variation 7j
-4.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
31 juil. 26, 23:4230 oct. 26, 0:00
Tendances
0%
0%
Règles
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting.
- If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued.
Marchés ouverts
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-3.0pt67.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt31.7%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 39,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 3,6 M €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt65.3%
- Hike 25bps+4.0pt31.7%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 10,4 M €
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.4pt83.5%
- Exactly 1 cut-0.7pt9.7%
- Exactly 2 cuts+0.4pt2.9%
+18 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+7.0pt56%
- No-7.0pt44%
- Volume total
- 6,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 146,8 k €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate+1.0pt65.6%
- Hike 25bps28.8%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2.4%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 138,6 k €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0-0.7pt85.9%
- 1 (2510.1%
- 2 (50-0.6pt3%
+10 résultats de plus
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed Decision in October?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Bank of Japan Decision in October? ?
- Polymarket cote No change à 77% au 21 août 2026.
- Quand Bank of Japan Decision in October? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October? doit être résolu le 30 octobre 2026.
- Comment Bank of Japan Decision in October? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).