KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Hike 25bps 94%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
24 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,7 €
Liquidité
94,6 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
19.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
25 août 26, 18:00 UTC18 déc. 26, 03:29 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If the Bank of Japan takes the action of the named outcome at December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Marchés ouverts
Central Banks
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase-0.6pt97%
- 50+ bps increase+0.7pt2%
- No change+0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 591,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 39 k €
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIEuropean Central Bank rate decision in September
- Hike 1-25bps+1.0pt95.2%
- Maintain current rate+1.0pt1.9%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt95.2%
- Maintain current rate1.9%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 146,6 k €
POLYMARKETBank of England decision in September?
- No change-0.3pt96%
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt3%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- H 0+1.0pt63.3%
- H 2525.7%
- C 255.5%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- Czech National Bank rate decision in September
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
- Bank of England rate decision in September
- Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
- Bank of Brazil decision in November?
- Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Bank of Japan rate decision in December ?
- Kalshi cote Hike 25bps à 94% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Bank of Japan rate decision in December sera-t-il résolu ?
- Bank of Japan rate decision in December doit être résolu le 18 décembre 2026.
- Comment Bank of Japan rate decision in December est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Bank of Japan takes the action of the named outcome at December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.