PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
25 bps increase 69.4%+22.5ptEn tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,1 k €
Liquidité
2,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
7.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
18 sept. 26, 23:57 UTC18 déc. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
PolymarketBank of Japan Decision in October?
LimitlessBank of Japan rate decision in October
KalshiWill the Bank of Japan have a negative interest rate again before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsBank of Japan interest rate decision — October 2026
FutuurWill the Bank of Japan leave the rate unchanged at the October 30, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExRègles
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan’s Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, scheduled for December 17-18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan’s Policy Board resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
Central Banks
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
- H 077%
- H 2621%
- H 2513%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 7,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 7,5 k €
POLYMARKETBank of Korea decision in November?
- 25 bps hike-9.0pt53.9%
- No Change+8.0pt41.2%
- 50+ bps hike+1.1pt3.9%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETSwiss National Bank decision in September?
- No Change100%
- 50+ bps increase0%
- 25 bps increase0%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 17,4 k €
KALSHICentral Bank of Brazil rate decision in November
- Cut 1-25bps57%
- Maintain current rate-31.0pt6%
- Hike 1-25bps2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3,7 k €
KALSHIHungary rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate-1.0pt88.7%
- Cut more than 50bps+2.0pt2.8%
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in October?
- No change+1.0pt82.3%
- 25 bps increase+0.5pt16.7%
- 50+ bps increase-2.0pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Bank of Japan rate decision in October
- Sweden rate decision in September
- Bank of Canada Decision in December?
- ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
- Swiss National Bank rate decision in September
- Bank of Brazil decision in December?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Bank of Japan Decision in December? ?
- Polymarket cote 25 bps increase à 69% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Bank of Japan Decision in December? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Bank of Japan Decision in December? doit être résolu le 18 décembre 2026.
- Comment Bank of Japan Decision in December? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan’s Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- Où Bank of Japan Decision in December? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi.