PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
25 bps increase 57.7%-0.5ptEn tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
51 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
603,9 €
Liquidité
3,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
7.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
14 sept. 26, 22:13 UTC17 déc. 26, 11:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
PolymarketECB Interest Rates: October 2026
LimitlessWill the Fed raise the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the Fed raise the rate 25bps in December 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastEx🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in October 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Tumbles understand why raising interest rates lowers inflation? (before 2027)
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 16-17, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Limitless — ECB Interest Rates: December 2026 · 25 bps increase 56%
Marchés ouverts
Central Banks
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Hike 25bps+11.0pt46.8%
- Fed maintains rate-6.0pt46.3%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt3.2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 109,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 20,7 k €
KALSHIChicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September
- Above -0.6298%
- Above -0.60+1.0pt95%
- Above -0.58+7.0pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 26,6 k €
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in October?
- No change+2.5pt79.6%
- 25 bps increase-0.5pt17.5%
- 50+ bps increase+1.4pt2.9%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- No change+1.0pt52.9%
- 25 bps increase+1.5pt47.1%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in October
- Maintain current rate+19.0pt73.7%
- Hike 25bps-2.0pt16.7%
- Hike more than 25bps+7.0pt7.9%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in November
- Hike 1-25bps52%
- Hike more than 25bps3%
- Cut more than 25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,3 k €
- South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- US active housing listings in September
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026?
- Bank of Canada Decision in December?
- Swiss National Bank decision in September?
- Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August
- Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
- South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour ECB Interest Rates: December 2026 ?
- Polymarket cote 25 bps increase à 58% au 19 septembre 2026.
- Quand ECB Interest Rates: December 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- ECB Interest Rates: December 2026 doit être résolu le 17 décembre 2026.
- Comment ECB Interest Rates: December 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- Où ECB Interest Rates: December 2026 est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Limitless.