Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026?
FedOne-OffInflationPolitiqueUS Politics3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 99%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète18 mars 26, 16:25 UTC30 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExECB Interest Rates: October 2026
PolymarketWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWhich central banks will raise interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if the Federal Reserve cuts the federal funds rate at least 3 times (in 25-basis-point increments) before December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official FOMC announcements and the Federal Reserve's policy decisions.
- Check the Federal Reserve's official website for rate decision announcements.
- The Fed left the federal funds rate unchanged at the 3.5%–3.75% target range in its January 2026 meeting, after three consecutive rate cuts in 2025.
- The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold the federal funds rate steady within the 3.5%–3.75% target range for a second consecutive meeting in March 2026.
Marchés ouverts
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 34,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Volume total
- 3,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 45,5 k €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 résultats de plus
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Volume total
- 997 k €
- Volume 24h
- 41,2 k €
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 99% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026? doit être résolu le 30 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria