KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Hike 1-25bps · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
—
Prix enregistré
Hike 1-25bps 75%En tête parmi 5 options
Hike 1-25bps 75%Qualité du marché
36 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Intérêt ouvert
3,2 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
Hike 1-25bpsÉcart
—
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
25 août 26, 18:00 UTC17 déc. 26, 13:14 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Hike 1-25bps
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
—
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
European Central Bank rate decision in October
KalshiSwiss National Bank rate decision in December
KalshiCzech National Bank rate decision in November
KalshiBank of England rate decision in December
KalshiWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 2.65% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending December, 17, 2026?
ForecastExWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 2.65% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending October, 29, 2026?
ForecastExRègles
If the European Central Bank takes the action of Hike 1-25bps at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Règles de chaque résultat
- Hike 1-25bps
- If the European Central Bank takes the action of Hike 1-25bps at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Maintain current rate
- If the European Central Bank takes the action of Maintain current rate at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cut more than 25bps
- If the European Central Bank takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cut 1-25bps
- If the European Central Bank takes the action of Cut 1-25bps at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hike more than 25bps
- If the European Central Bank takes the action of Hike more than 25bps at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — ECB Interest Rates: December 2026 · 25 bps increase 76%
