KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Cut 1-25bps 51.4%+13.0ptEn tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
60 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,3 k €
Liquidité
1,1 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
17 sept. 26, 21:00 UTC4 nov. 26, 22:29 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If the Central Bank of Brazil takes the action of the named outcome at the November Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Trading Economics - Brazil Central Bank
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "the named outcome" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
Marchés ouverts
Central Banks
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Hike 25bps+11.0pt46.8%
- Fed maintains rate-6.0pt46.3%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt3.2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 109,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 20,7 k €
KALSHIChicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September
- Above -0.6298%
- Above -0.60+1.0pt95%
- Above -0.58+7.0pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 26,6 k €
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in October?
- No change+2.5pt79.6%
- 25 bps increase-0.5pt17.5%
- 50+ bps increase+1.4pt2.9%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- No change+1.0pt52.9%
- 25 bps increase+1.5pt47.1%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in October
- Maintain current rate+19.0pt73.7%
- Hike 25bps-2.0pt16.7%
- Hike more than 25bps+7.0pt7.9%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in November
- Hike 1-25bps52%
- Hike more than 25bps3%
- Cut more than 25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,3 k €
- South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- US active housing listings in September
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026?
- Bank of Canada Decision in December?
- Swiss National Bank decision in September?
- Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August
- Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
- South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November ?
- Kalshi cote Cut 1-25bps à 51% au 19 septembre 2026.
- Quand Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November sera-t-il résolu ?
- Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November doit être résolu le 4 novembre 2026.
- Comment Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Central Bank of Brazil takes the action of the named outcome at the November Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.