KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Maintain current rate 81.1%En tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
3 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
25 août 26, 18:00 UTC29 oct. 26, 13:14 UTC
Tendances
Règles
If the European Central Bank takes the action of the named outcome at October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
Central Banks
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase-0.5pt97%
- No change+0.6pt2%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 588,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 39,7 k €
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIEuropean Central Bank rate decision in September
- Hike 1-25bps+1.0pt95.2%
- Maintain current rate+1.0pt1.9%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- H 0-1.0pt63%
- H 2525.9%
- C 25-1.0pt5.6%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 12,6 k €
POLYMARKETBank of England decision in September?
- No change-0.6pt96%
- 25 bps increase+1.3pt3%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt94.2%
- Hike more than 25bps1.9%
- Maintain current rate1.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 144,6 k €
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Czech National Bank rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
- Bank of England rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
- Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
- Bank of Brazil decision in September?
- Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour European Central Bank rate decision in October ?
- Kalshi cote Maintain current rate à 81% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand European Central Bank rate decision in October sera-t-il résolu ?
- European Central Bank rate decision in October doit être résolu le 29 octobre 2026.
- Comment European Central Bank rate decision in October est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the European Central Bank takes the action of the named outcome at October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où European Central Bank rate decision in October est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.