LimitlessVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
No change 83.5%En tête parmi 5 options
No change 83.5%Qualité du marché
22 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
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Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
10 août 26, 08:20 UTC28 oct. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "the named outcome" bracket.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
3 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour No change est de 84%. L'écart entre plateformes est d'environ 1 point de pourcentage. Les plateformes ne s'accordent pas sur l'issue en tête.
Référence CoinRithm No change 84% · 3 plateformes · 1 pt d’ecart entre venues
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Fed decision in October? · No change 82%
- Également disponible sur Futuur — Fed interest rate decision — October 2026 · No change 81%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Fed decision in Oct 2026? · Fed maintains rate 81%
- Également disponible sur Robinhood (Rothera) — Fed rate decision in October 2026 · Fed maintains rate 80%
- Également disponible sur Gemini — Fed decision in October?
