PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleJune 30 3%+0.1%En tête parmi 7 options
Qualite du marche
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
414,5 €
Liquidité
17,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
2.7% / 3.9%
Spread
44.4%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-6.2%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
10 oct. 25, 15:2730 juin 26, 0:00
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Résultat choisi
June 303%
Marchés Associés
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
7,4 M €December 31: 83%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
4,9 M €July 31: 87%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1,4 M €Oui: 1%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30? [Polymarket]
26,8 k €Oui: 41.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
4,6 k €Oui: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow long will “indefinite extension” US x Iran ceasefire hold? (Weeks)
3 k €3 weeks+ (May 12th, 1pm): 100%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
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On October 9, Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- Announcements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to "Yes"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to "Yes".
- The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.