US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
5.0 pts (24h)Politique américaineOne-OffGéopolitiqueMoyen-Orient2mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 39%+5.0ptEn tête parmi 9 options
December 31 39%+5.0ptQualité du marché
≤74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
27,2 k €
Liquidité
137,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
14
Variation 7j
-12.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 24 minutes
4 août 26, 02:59 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
August 15Perdu
August 31Perdu
September 15Perdu
Avant la clôture: 0% ·
September 30Perdu
Avant la clôture: 0% ·
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Non
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
PolymarketWill Europe find a peaceful agreement with Iran to pass the Strait of Hormuz in 2026 while the US/Iran war continues?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
PolymarketNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketUS-Iran nuclear deal?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between the United States and Iran over traffic in the strait of Hormuz is announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- A diplomatic agreement refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that establishes agreed actions, policies, obligations, or commitments between the United States and Iran.
- A qualifying diplomatic agreement must establish Iranian policies, obligations, or commitments aimed at permitting, restoring, or increasing vessel or shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.
- All listed countries must announce their acceptance of the same qualifying diplomatic agreement for the Payout Condition to be met.
- A joint announcement will qualify, as will separate announcements from each entity of its own acceptance of an agreement which, taken together, directly indicate that all the listed countries accepted the same agreement.
- Separate announcements of individual policies will not qualify if the policies are not announced as part of a diplomatic agreement.