KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleZohran Mamdani 28%+2.0%En tête parmi 25 options
Qualite du marche
89 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
20 k €
Liquidité
325,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
27.0% / 28.0%
Spread
3.7%
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
19 févr. 26, 20:001 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Zohran Mamdani28%
Comparer les plateformes· Zohran Mamdani
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Élevée | 28% | 0pt | 20 k € | 325,3 k € | il y a 17 minutes | |
 Polymarket71% de correspondance · vérifié | Élevée | 30% | +2pt | 666 € | 204,1 k € | il y a 17 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Manifold Markets88% de correspondance · vérifié | — | 13% | -15pt | — | — | il y a 17 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Manifold Markets
Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?
5mo
-0.8%30.9%
-0.1%13%
+0.9%12.9%
+46 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire207 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Polymarket
TIME Person of the Year 2026
7.5%5mo
+7.5%30%
-3.0%20%
+3.5%17%
+19 résultats de plus
80 • Haute qualitéSpread modéréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total3,6 k €
Volume 24h666 €
POLYMARKETRègles
If Taylor Swift is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This will count towards the payout criterion: If multiple persons win, all persons that are listed are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
- If, for example, the Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, both “Joe Biden” and “Kamala Harris” strikes are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
- The person must be explicitly named as the Person of the Year or pictured on the/a relevant cover if they are associated with the group/concept winning (the picture is only relevant for a natural human being winning).
- Some examples to illustrate this: “Jamal Khasogghi” would resolve to Yes in 2018, when “The Guardians” won, as he is also named and shown on a cover and falls within “The Guardians”.
- Similarly, “Bill Gates” would resolve to Yes in 2005.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$22.8k2 juil.25j de données26 juil.
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Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?
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KALSHI2028 Presidency: Vance, Newsom, or Other?
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The Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
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If Taylor Swift is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This will count towards the payout criterion: If multiple persons win, all persons that are listed are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
- If, for example, the Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, both “Joe Biden” and “Kamala Harris” strikes are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
- The person must be explicitly named as the Person of the Year or pictured on the/a relevant cover if they are associated with the group/concept winning (the picture is only relevant for a natural human being winning).
- Some examples to illustrate this: “Jamal Khasogghi” would resolve to Yes in 2018, when “The Guardians” won, as he is also named and shown on a cover and falls within “The Guardians”.
- Similarly, “Bill Gates” would resolve to Yes in 2005.