KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleZohran Mamdani 20%En tête parmi 22 options
Qualite du marche
28 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
14,4 €
Liquidité
1,7 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
17.0% / 20.0%
Spread
17.6%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
19 févr. 26, 20:001 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
Résultat choisi
Zohran Mamdani20%
Également disponible sur Polymarket
TIME Person of the Year 2026
12.0%6mo
+30.0%40%
+1.5%39%
-1.5%34%
+19 résultats de plus
56 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total1,1 k €
Volume 24h125,4 €
POLYMARKETRègles
If Taylor Swift is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This will count towards the payout criterion: If multiple persons win, all persons that are listed are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
- If, for example, the Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, both “Joe Biden” and “Kamala Harris” strikes are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
- The person must be explicitly named as the Person of the Year or pictured on the/a relevant cover if they are associated with the group/concept winning (the picture is only relevant for a natural human being winning).
- Some examples to illustrate this: “Jamal Khasogghi” would resolve to Yes in 2018, when “The Guardians” won, as he is also named and shown on a cover and falls within “The Guardians”.
- Similarly, “Bill Gates” would resolve to Yes in 2005.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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If Taylor Swift is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This will count towards the payout criterion: If multiple persons win, all persons that are listed are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
- If, for example, the Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, both “Joe Biden” and “Kamala Harris” strikes are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
- The person must be explicitly named as the Person of the Year or pictured on the/a relevant cover if they are associated with the group/concept winning (the picture is only relevant for a natural human being winning).
- Some examples to illustrate this: “Jamal Khasogghi” would resolve to Yes in 2018, when “The Guardians” won, as he is also named and shown on a cover and falls within “The Guardians”.
- Similarly, “Bill Gates” would resolve to Yes in 2005.