Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleZohran Mamdani 25.9%-0.6ptEn tête parmi 50 options
Prévisionnistes
280
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-1.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète30 nov. 25, 19:39 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?
Manifold MarketsWho or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers]
Manifold MarketsWill Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Time Magazine person of the year by 2042?
Manifold MarketsWho will be TIME Magazine's 2027 Person of the Year?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRègles
This question resolves to the TIME 2026 Person of The Year.
- It uses consolidated answers to avoid having to predict who the major party nominees will be, or the exact wording of any abstract/group answers.
- If multiple options do end up being true, then those options will resolve to an even split of 100%.
- In ambiguous cases, I will try to match the resolution of the market to who Wikipedia lists in their TIME Person of The Year article.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — TIME Person of the Year 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 26%
- Également disponible sur Futuur — TIME Person of the Year 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 24%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Time's Person of the Year for 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 28%
