Probabilité implicite actuelle
Anthropic 59.2%-4.0ptEn tête parmi 15 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
89 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
18,4 k €
Liquidité
784,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
0.1 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
4 juin 26, 17:41 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?
PolymarketWhich AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best LLM at the end of 2026? (Artificial analysis leaderboard)
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
- If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”).
- This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volume total
- 241,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 128 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 349,4 k €
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Most popular AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which company has best AI model end of 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote Anthropic à 59% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which company has best AI model end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Which company has best AI model end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Où Which company has best AI model end of 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Futuur.