Probabilité implicite actuelle
Anthropic 63%+0.5%En tête parmi 26 options
Qualite du marche
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2,7 k €
Liquidité
520,1 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
2.1% / 4.4%
Spread
109.5%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-1.5%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
4 juin 26, 17:4131 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Anthropic63%
Comparer les plateformes· Anthropic
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketCette pageMeilleur global | Moyenne | 63% | 0pt | 2,7 k € | 520,1 k € | il y a 9 minutes | |
 Futuur90% de correspondance · auto | Faible | 67% | +4pt | 0 € | 13,9 k € | il y a 29 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Futuur
Which company will have the best AI model at the end of 2026?
5mo
67%
17%
10%
+3 résultats de plus
44 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuLiquidité moyenneAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total241,3 €
Volume 24h0 €
FUTUURRègles
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
- If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”).
- This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$3.1k2 juil.25j de données26 juil.
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Actualités Associées
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This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
- If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”).
- This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.