KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Claude 60%-1.5ptEn tête parmi 8 options
Qualité du marché
≤89 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
67,3 k €
Liquidité
5,4 M €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
0.3 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
1 janv. 26, 15:00 UTC31 déc. 26, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If Baidu has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Controls)
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
- If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
AI
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volume total
- 241,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 128 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 349,4 k €
POLYMARKETGemini 4.0 released by which date?
- November 30-2.5pt88%
- October 31-6.0pt71%
- September 30-16.0pt13%
+4 résultats de plus
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Most popular AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Best AI at the end of 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote Claude à 60% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Best AI at the end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Best AI at the end of 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Best AI at the end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Baidu has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.