Probabilité implicite actuelle
Claude 63%-1.1%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche
100 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
17,2 k €
Liquidité
4,2 M €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
62.8% / 63.8%
Spread
1.6%
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
1 janv. 26, 15:0031 déc. 26, 15:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Claude63%
Grosses transactions
$1.4k97.9%
KALSHIMuse Spark — No-3 j
KALSHIMuse Spark — No-3 j$1.3k86.5%KALSHIChatGPT — No-7 j
KALSHIChatGPT — No-7 j$1.3k87.3%KALSHIGemini — No-11 j
KALSHIGemini — No-11 j$1.2k92.6%KALSHIGrok — No-17 j
KALSHIGrok — No-17 jTendance du volume
$19.6k2 juil.25j de données26 juil.
Marchés Associés
Best AI this week
22,3 k €ChatGPT: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIBest AI in Jul 2026?
223,3 €Claude: 98%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
10,3 k €1525: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
4,3 k €1560: 40%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
1,5 k €Moonshot AI: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will AI solve one of 129 major mathematical conjectures before year X?
1,3 k €2026: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
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Over 95% of Coinbase’s code is now written with AICointelegraph
DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto NewsRègles
If Baidu has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
- If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.