PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 92%+4.0pt
Qualité du marché
55 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
732,5 €
Liquidité
3 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
66.0% / 69.0%
Écart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
1
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
4 sept. 26, 16:45 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
GPT 6 Astra debut arena score
KalshiWill the next Claude Fable release score higher on ECI than the next GPT Astra release?
Manifold MarketsWhich models will GPT-6 Astra be higher than on arena.ai agent arena on the 12th September?
Manifold MarketsAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify.
- GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+12.5pt89%
- 2026+23.0pt71%
- September 30, 2026+24.5pt43%
- Volume total
- 125,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 55 k €
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture+8.0pt42.9%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer-1.0pt25.7%
- Yang-Mills+13.6pt14.3%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+33.0pt90%
- 2026+21.5pt50%
- September 30, 2026+20.5pt34%
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-23.0pt38%
- 2027-1.0pt17%
- 2026-2.0pt5%
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+6.0pt62.8%
- ChatGPT-0.6pt20.6%
- Gemini-0.9pt6.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,3 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,4 M €
- Anthropic market share this week
- Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
- Tencent market share this week
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote December 31 à 92% au 11 septembre 2026.
- Quand GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).