KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 95 25%En tête parmi 7 options
Above 95 25%Qualité du marché
48 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
215,2 €
Intérêt ouvert
933,7 €
Intérêt ouvert faibleÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
1 oct. 26, 04:00 UTC8 nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
ChatGPT App Downloads in September
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KalshiWill Google Gemini rank above ChatGPT in the App Store at EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Claude surpass ChatGPT in monthly active users by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the Carbon Arc ChatGPT App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 95 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th. The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means ChatGPT App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Above 95
- If the Carbon Arc ChatGPT App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 95 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 100
- If the Carbon Arc ChatGPT App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 100 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 105
- If the Carbon Arc ChatGPT App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 105 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 115
- If the Carbon Arc ChatGPT App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 115 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 110
- If the Carbon Arc ChatGPT App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 110 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 130
- If the Carbon Arc ChatGPT App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 130 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 80
- If the Carbon Arc ChatGPT App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 80 , then the market resolves to Yes.
