PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Zohran Mamdani 30%-0.5ptEn tête parmi 22 options
Qualité du marché
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
575,5 €
Liquidité
438,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
6
Variation 7j
-4.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
26 mai 26, 20:28 UTC31 déc. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist?
Manifold MarketsWill Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human?
Manifold MarketsWill AI be Time's person of the year in 2025 OR 2026?
Manifold MarketsTime's Person of the Decade
KalshiWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiWhich brands will advertise during the Big Game?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year.
- Additionally, the following rules apply:
- If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year.
- If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Futuur — TIME Person of the Year 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 37%
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year? · Zohran Mamdani 27%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Time's Person of the Year for 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 29%
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volume total
- 241,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 128 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 349,4 k €
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Most popular AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour TIME Person of the Year 2026 ?
- Polymarket cote Zohran Mamdani à 30% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand TIME Person of the Year 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- TIME Person of the Year 2026 doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment TIME Person of the Year 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026.
- Où TIME Person of the Year 2026 est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Futuur, Manifold Markets, Kalshi.