Prévision communautaire actuelle
Zohran Mamdani 85%En tête parmi 39 options
Prévisionnistes
61
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète13 mars 26, 22:32 UTC1 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Time's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiTIME Person of the Year 2026
PolymarketWill Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human?
Manifold MarketsWill AI be Time's person of the year in 2025 OR 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person?
Manifold MarketsTIME Person of the Year 2026
FutuurRègles
Resolves according to the shortlist released by TIME.
- If no shortlist is released, everything resolves no.
- Must be explicitly named as the headline.
- If ‘The Iranian People’ was on the shortlist, Iranians like the named outcome wouldn’t count.
- Even if they named him in the blurb about Iranian people.
- (Excludes Artemis|| , individual astronauts would resolve yes if Artemis || is named)
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Zohran Mamdani à 85% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist? doit être résolu le 1 décembre 2026.
- Comment Who will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves according to the shortlist released by TIME.