Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 07:45 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 98.8%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète31 janv. 26, 05:00 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Time's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiWho will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist?
Manifold MarketsWill Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human?
Manifold MarketsWill AI be Time's person of the year in 2025 OR 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person?
Manifold MarketsTIME Person of the Year 2026
FutuurRègles
Resolution Criteria
- TIME's Person of the Year is selected by TIME editors and recognizes a person, group, idea, or object that "for better or for worse ... has done the most to influence the events of the year." This market resolves YES if Moltbook is named TIME Person of the Year for 2026.
- Resolution will be confirmed via TIME magazine's official announcement, typically published in December 2026.
- The market resolves NO if any other person, group, idea, or object is selected.
- Moltbook is an experimental social network where AI agents are the only users, offering unprecedented insights into machine-to-machine communication.
- Launched Wednesday by developer and entrepreneur Matt Schlicht, Moltbook is familiar to anyone who spends time on Reddit.
