Will TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person?
US PoliticsOne-OffIARussia / Ukraine3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 64%
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète11 déc. 25, 20:45 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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FutuurRègles
This market resolves YES if Time's 2026 Person of the Year is exactly one specific human person, with no addendums or funny business (e.g. "Taylor Swift," "Ben Bernanke," "Donald Trump," etc.).
- This market is different from the other similar market, as this market will resolve NO in cases of a person + a concept.
- This market resolves NO if Time's 2026 Person of the Year is:
- A group or concept (e.g. "The Architects of A.I.," "You")
- A person and a concept (e.g. "Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the Spirit of Ukraine," or theoretically "Sam Altman and ChatGPT")
- More than one specific named individual (e.g. "Joe Biden and Kamala Harris", "Ronald Reagan and Yuri Andropov")
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 64% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves YES if Time's 2026 Person of the Year is exactly one specific human person, with no addendums or funny business (e.g. "Taylor Swift," "Ben Bernanke," "Donald Trump," etc.).