What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?
Plateformes d'échangeQuarterlyIADivertissementMusique2mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
↓ $45 44%En tête parmi 6 options
↓ $45 44%Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
6,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-1.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
24 sept. 26, 08:24 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the standard output token price of OpenAI's frontier model is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the price specified in the title, in USD per million tokens.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- OpenAI's frontier model means the model with the highest score in the "Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index" (AAII) column of the model leaderboard at https://artificialanalysis.ai/leaderboards/models among entries listing OpenAI as the "Creator".
- The "Status" filter must be set to "Current", with "Weights", "Size", "Price", and "Reasoning" set to "All".
- Only models with a standard output token price listed on OpenAI's official API pricing page will be considered.
- Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.
