Prévision communautaire actuelle
Taylor Swift 100%En tête parmi 75 options
Prévisionnistes
131
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 heures
Obsolète10 oct. 23, 04:59 UTC1 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will become President through 2033? [Unlinked Free Response - Correct Options Resolve Early]
Manifold MarketsWho will win a Nobel Prize before 2030? [Unlinked free response]
Manifold MarketsWhat's an unconventional opinion or idea that you've encountered which most people might not agree with? [FREE RESPONSE]
Manifold MarketsTime's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiTIME Person of the Year 2026
PolymarketTime's Person of the Decade
KalshiRègles
New market type! All options are unlinked from other options, and will resolve either 0% or 100%.
- Options can resolve early, while the market as a whole remains open until the end of 2028.
- Any submitted name that is made Time's Person of The Year in any year through 2028 will resolve Yes.
- Any abstract concept/group that I judge to be synonymous with an abstract concept/group that is named Person of the Year will also resolve Yes.
- Feel free to submit answers that are duplicates or close synonyms to existing answers, I'll resolve all correct options to the full 100%.
- Also, note that TIME has traditionally named the US president elect as the POTY in election years.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+81.8pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-81.6pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.7pt0%
- Volume total
- 957,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 760,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,7 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-1.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.6pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who are all the people who will be Time Person of The Year through 2028? [Unlinked Free Response] ?
- Manifold Markets cote Taylor Swift à 100% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who are all the people who will be Time Person of The Year through 2028? [Unlinked Free Response] sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who are all the people who will be Time Person of The Year through 2028? [Unlinked Free Response] doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2029.
- Comment Who are all the people who will be Time Person of The Year through 2028? [Unlinked Free Response] est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : New market type! All options are unlinked from other options, and will resolve either 0% or 100%.