KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelle48 12%En tête parmi 10 options
Qualite du marche
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
18,2 k €
Liquidité
1,1 M €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
9.5% / 11.0%
Spread
15.8%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
20 déc. 25, 16:001 févr. 27, 15:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
4812%
Également disponible sur Manifold Markets
How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
6mo
2.5%
3%
+0.1%3.7%
+9 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire40 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
Volume total21,8 k €
Volume 24h86,1 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRègles
If the Democratic Party has below 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).
- If the Democratic Party has exactly 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic Party has exactly 46 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic Party has exactly 47 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic Party has exactly 48 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$20.8k2 juil.6j de données7 juil.
Marchés Associés
Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028)
0 €Below 45: 14%KALSHI
KALSHI
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140,2 k €Democratic party wins : 56%KALSHI
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If the Democratic Party has below 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).
- If the Democratic Party has exactly 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic Party has exactly 46 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic Party has exactly 47 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic Party has exactly 48 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.