How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
0.1 pts (24h)One-OffPolitiqueÉlectionUS Politics4moManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle51 18.5%+0.1ptEn tête parmi 12 options
Prévisionnistes
45
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+1.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète2 avr. 25, 0:164 janv. 27, 23:59
Tendances
Règles
I will add new options if the odds credibly swing either much higher or much lower than the currently expected median.
- Feel free to ask clarifying questions.
- By default, this market will resolve on January 4th, 2027.
- If there is an edge case in which it is unclear how many Dems are in the new senate, I will delay resolution.
- Independents will count towards the party they caucus with.
- Independents who do not caucus with the Dems will not count for them, even if they usually vote with them.
