How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
1.9 pts (24h)One-OffPolitiqueÉlectionPolitique américaineÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 20262moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle52 15.8%-1.9ptEn tête parmi 12 options
Prévisionnistes
56
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+0.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
2 avr. 25, 00:16 UTC4 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
Manifold MarketsWhat prediction market will have the most accurate prediction for the Senate midterm election of 2026? (Read Rules)
Manifold MarketsHow many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
KalshiHow many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)
KalshiWhich prediction market will have the most accurate prediction for the 2026 midterm election?
Manifold MarketsRègles
I will add new options if the odds credibly swing either much higher or much lower than the currently expected median.
- Feel free to ask clarifying questions.
- By default, this market will resolve on January 4th, 2027.
- If there is an edge case in which it is unclear how many Dems are in the new senate, I will delay resolution.
- Independents will count towards the party they caucus with.
- Independents who do not caucus with the Dems will not count for them, even if they usually vote with them.
