How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
One-OffPolitiqueÉlectionUS Politics6moManifold MarketsSans KYCPrévision communautaire actuelle44 2.5%En tête parmi 12 options
Prévisionnistes
40
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 jours
Obsolète2 avr. 25, 0:164 janv. 27, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
443%
Également disponible sur Kalshi
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
6mo
12%
16%
+0.9%8%
+7 résultats de plus
73 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevée
Volume total1,4 M €
Volume 24h18,2 k €
KALSHIRègles
I will add new options if the odds credibly swing either much higher or much lower than the currently expected median.
- Feel free to ask clarifying questions.
- By default, this market will resolve on January 4th, 2027.
- If there is an edge case in which it is unclear how many Dems are in the new senate, I will delay resolution.
- Independents will count towards the party they caucus with.
- Independents who do not caucus with the Dems will not count for them, even if they usually vote with them.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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I will add new options if the odds credibly swing either much higher or much lower than the currently expected median.
- Feel free to ask clarifying questions.
- By default, this market will resolve on January 4th, 2027.
- If there is an edge case in which it is unclear how many Dems are in the new senate, I will delay resolution.
- Independents will count towards the party they caucus with.
- Independents who do not caucus with the Dems will not count for them, even if they usually vote with them.