KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 82%+1.0pt
Qualité du marché
83 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
11,5 k €
Liquidité
335,8 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
82.0% / 84.0%
Écart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
12 déc. 25, 15:00 UTC1 févr. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
- This market will resolve based on the composition of the U.S. House of Representatives and the Senate on February 1, 2027.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
2 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour Référence CoinRithm est de 82%. Les cotations s'écartent d'environ 3 points de pourcentage entre les plateformes extrêmes.
Référence CoinRithm 82% · 2 plateformes · 3 pt d’ecart entre venues
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Blue wave in 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote Yes à 82% au 22 septembre 2026.
- Quand Blue wave in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Blue wave in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 février 2027.
- Comment Blue wave in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Blue wave in 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.