KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 75%+1.0pt
Qualite du marche
79 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
986,1 €
Liquidité
151 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
74.0% / 75.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes
12 déc. 25, 15:001 févr. 27, 15:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes75%
Comparer les plateformes· Yes
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Élevée | 75% | 0pt | 986,1 € | 151 k € | il y a 18 minutes | |
 Polymarket80% de correspondance · vérifié | Faible | 75% | 0pt | 0 € | 11,2 k € | il y a 18 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Blue wave in 2026?
4mo
75%
25%
49 • Faible qualitéSpread modéréLiquidité moyenneAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total46,4 k €
Volume 24h0 €
POLYMARKETRègles
If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
- Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$1.1k2 juil.26j de données27 juil.
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401,6 k €JD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
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365,4 k €Kamala Harris: 5%KALSHI
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167,6 k €Jay Collins: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
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If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
- Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.