KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 74%-1.0pt
Qualite du marche
82 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
3,8 k €
Liquidité
154,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
74.0% / 75.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 26 minutes
12 déc. 25, 15:001 févr. 27, 15:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes74%
Comparer les plateformes· Yes
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Élevée | 74% | 0pt | 3,8 k € | 154,6 k € | il y a 26 minutes | |
 Polymarket80% de correspondance · vérifié | Faible | 75% | +1pt | 0 € | 10,8 k € | il y a 26 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Blue wave in 2026?
0.5 pts4mo
74.3%
+0.0pt25.7%
49 • Faible qualitéSpread serréLiquidité moyenneAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total46,5 k €
Volume 24h0 €
POLYMARKETRègles
If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
- Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$4.3k2 juil.27j de données28 juil.
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If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
- Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.