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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Blue wave in 2026?
Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

2.0% (24h)One-OffPolitiqueUS PoliticsÉlection7mo
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 68%-2.0%
Qualite du marche

44 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

37,6 €

Liquidité

1,2 k €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

70.0% / 73.0%

Spread

4.3%

Spread modéré
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes

12 déc. 25, 15:001 févr. 27, 15:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes68%

PolymarketÉgalement disponible sur Polymarket

Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

5mo
Oui
Oui
75%
Non
Non
25%
49 • Faible qualitéSpread serréLiquidité moyenneAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total43,1 k €
Volume 24h0 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Règles

If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
  • If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
  • Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
  • For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
  • All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.

Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.

Marchés Associés

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

722,2 k €
Robert F. Kennedy: 49%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

18,2 k €
Democrats Sweep: 44%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Los Angeles mayoral election: Spencer Pratt vote percent (1st round)

Los Angeles mayoral election: Spencer Pratt vote percent (1st round)

3,1 k €
At least 27%: 2%KalshiKALSHI
Los Angeles Mayor winner?

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

2,2 k €
Nithya Raman: 34%KalshiKALSHI
When will FISA be reauthorized again?

When will FISA be reauthorized again?

1,7 k €
Before Jun 12, 2026: 1%KalshiKALSHI

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,732.73+0.71%EthereumETH$1,646.92-0.17%SolanaSOL$65.73+0.69%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+0.33%XRPXRP$1.12-1.05%BNBBNB$599.00+0.62%

Actualités Associées

Former Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto NewsTrump adviser Patrick Witt backs sweeping crypto tax billsCrypto NewsRussia election odds hold with United Russia leading at ~54.5%Blockchain.NewsU.S. judge blocks Trump’s $100,000 H-1B visa fee after state challengeCrypto NewsTrump walks out of interview after clash over election fraud claims Crypto NewsCongress nears final vote on $70 billion immigration funding packageCrypto News

Règles

If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
  • If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
  • Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
  • For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
  • All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.