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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Blue wave in 2026?
Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

YearlyPolitiqueUS PoliticsÉlection5mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 75%
Qualite du marche

49 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidité

12,4 k €

Liquidité moyenne
Achat / Vente

74.0% / 76.0%

Spread

2.7%

Spread serré
Variation 7j

+4.5%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes

14 janv. 26, 0:5330 nov. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes75%

KalshiÉgalement disponible sur Kalshi

Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

2.0%7mo
Oui
Oui
-2.0%68%
Non
Non
32%
44 • Faible qualitéSpread modéréFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total2,2 k €
Volume 24h37,6 €
KalshiKALSHI

Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:

Polymarket
  • - Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
  • The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf

Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.

Marchés Associés

Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

33,7 €
FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years): 29%KalshiKALSHI
How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

2,8 €
7 or more: 13%KalshiKALSHI
Which office will AOC announce a run for by the end of 2027?

Which office will AOC announce a run for by the end of 2027?

0 €
Senate: 50%PredictItPREDICTIT
Manifold Markets

Which CA governors will build more housing in 2027?

130,1 €
Alex Padilla, more housing: 0.3%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Tucker Carlson be arrested in 2026?

60,7 €
Oui: 4.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$63,024.17+1.48%EthereumETH$1,653.05+0.11%SolanaSOL$65.44+0.61%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+0.46%HyperliquidHYPE$57.10-0.64%XRPXRP$1.12-1.20%

Actualités Associées

Former Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto NewsTrump adviser Patrick Witt backs sweeping crypto tax billsCrypto NewsRussia election odds hold with United Russia leading at ~54.5%Blockchain.NewsU.S. judge blocks Trump’s $100,000 H-1B visa fee after state challengeCrypto NewsTrump walks out of interview after clash over election fraud claims Crypto NewsCongress nears final vote on $70 billion immigration funding packageCrypto News

Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:

Polymarket
  • - Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
  • The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf