PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 74.3%
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
11,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
74.0% / 75.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréVariation 7j
-1.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
14 janv. 26, 0:5330 nov. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes75%
Comparer les plateformes· Yes
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMeilleur global80% de correspondance · vérifié | Élevée | 75% | 0pt | 3,8 k € | 154,6 k € | il y a 16 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| PolymarketCette page | Faible | 75% | 0pt | 0 € | 11,3 k € | il y a 16 minutes |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Blue wave in 2026?
6mo
75%
25%
82 • Haute qualitéSpread serréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total276,8 k €
Volume 24h3,8 k €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- - Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
- The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$582 juil.20j de données24 juil.
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0 €President: 58%
PREDICTIT
PREDICTITActifs dans ces sujets
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- - Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
- The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf