Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
1.0 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionGéopolitiqueMiddle East3mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
July 18 100%+0.3ptEn tête parmi 23 options
Qualité du marché
≤74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
62,8 k €
Liquidité
218 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
265
Variation 7j
+0.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
16 juil. 26, 23:11 UTC31 déc. 26, 20:29 UTC
Tendances
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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FutuurRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST).
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
- A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if either Israel or Iran takes a qualifying military action against the other country between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM IRST.
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel or Iran, that directly impacts the other country.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
