KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
John Thune 47.1%En tête parmi 6 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,5 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
10 août 26, 23:59 UTC3 janv. 28, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next Senate Majority Leader?
PolymarketJohn Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader?
KalshiNext Senate Majority Leader?
Limitless120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House?
KalshiWho will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?
KalshiWill a women walk on the moon before there is a women majority leader in the senate
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the named outcome wins the U.S. Senate Majority Leader election for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:U.S. Senate
- Each party’s Senate conference elects its own leader, and the leader of the party that holds Senate majority status serves as Senate Majority Leader.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour 120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader? ?
- Kalshi cote John Thune à 47% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand 120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader? sera-t-il résolu ?
- 120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader? doit être résolu le 3 janvier 2028.
- Comment 120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome wins the U.S. Senate Majority Leader election for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.