KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Below 45 14%En tête parmi 14 options
Qualité du marché
38 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
2,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
7.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
15 mai 26, 21:00 UTC1 févr. 29, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiNational Rally Group Seat Count after French Senate Election?
PolymarketSER Seat Count after French Senate Election?
PolymarketLes Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?
PolymarketWill Democrats win any senate seat this is not a current main target?
Manifold MarketsWill Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the Democratic party has the named outcome Senate seats on Feb 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:United States Congress
- If the Democratic party has exactly 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic party has exactly 46 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic party has exactly 47 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic party has exactly 48 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic party has exactly 49 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028) ?
- Kalshi cote Below 45 à 14% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028) doit être résolu le 1 février 2029.
- Comment Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028) est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Democratic party has the named outcome Senate seats on Feb 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.